A good point was made by Ed Bott of ZDNet when he wrote a post that said businesses were going to use Windows 8 as an excuse to get Windows 7. Sounds like crazy logic, but it totally makes sense. Businesses are usually not on the forefront of the technology revolution. They like playing it safe, and right now XP is safe. Windows 7 is not. Next year, presumably in April when Windows 8 is released, it will make Windows 7 safe. Windows 8 will be looked upon as cutting edge technology, but untested.
With the majority of businesses still using XP the growth towards Windows 7 will intensify into acceptance. The result is inevitable. XP and Vista will breathe their last sometime in 2012.
That said, the big IF is whether the US economy will improve enough to give businesses sufficient confidence that they can spend money. With the real estate market still in shits, jobs moving overseas, inflation, and high debt, businesses are worried that spending too much money may in fact kill their chances of profitability, if not the business itself. So one big issue is whether or not the economy will rebound.
There's also fact that Windows 8 may have many features currently seen today in tablets and mobile smart phones. This means that the view of the technology is untested may not applicable, which in turn will allow businesses to make the transition straight to Windows 8.
The latest rumor about Windows 8 is that it will be available to manufacturers in April 2012. By then the status of XP, Vista, and Windows 7 should be clear and so shall the nature of the economy and the status of the Cloud.
Take my word, XP and Vista should see the end of days sometime in 2012, but even Windows 7 may be superseded by Windows 8.
Check out Ed Bott's original article, Can Windows 8 finally vanquish the ghosts of XP and Vista?
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